Bitaxe Supra Hex on BitcoinCash — Mining Profit, Solo Odds & Cost of Production
4.19 TH/s · SHA-256 · network 3.87 EH/s. A Bitaxe Supra Hex solo mining BitcoinCash (BCH) has about a 1-in-18 chance per year, i.e. an expected block roughly every 17.20 yr for the full 3.1300 BCH (≈ 958 USD) reward.
Bitaxe Supra Hex on BitcoinCash — Mining Truth Benchmark & Specifications
Consolidated PoW oracle metrics for operating a Bitaxe Supra Hex on BitcoinCash (BCH) at live network difficulty and benchmark industrial electricity (0.069 USD/kWh):
| Specification / Metric | Value | Context & Meaning |
|---|---|---|
| Algorithm & Hashrate | 4.19 TH/s on SHA-256 | Nominal device hashrate |
| Rated Power Draw | 95 W (44.14 GH/W) | Energy efficiency threshold |
| Daily Pool Yield (Gross) | 0.15 USD / day | Expected gross pool revenue at spot price |
| Power Consumption Cost | 0.16 USD / day | Electricity expense at 0.069 USD/kWh (2.3 kWh/day) |
| Net Daily Operating Margin | -0.00 USD / day | Operational profit/loss after electricity |
| Operational Breakeven | 0.067 USD/kWh | Maximum electricity tariff before negative profit |
| Cost of Production (@ 0.069$ kWh) | 315.7512 USD per BCH | Direct electricity expense to produce 1 BCH |
| Solo Discovery Expectation | 1 block every ~17.20 yr | Poisson arrival time at network hashrate 3.87 EH/s |
Can you solo mine BitcoinCash with a Bitaxe Supra Hex?
Yes — a Bitaxe Supra Hex (4.19 TH/s) can solo mine BitcoinCash (BCH) via a solo pool. At BitcoinCash's 3.87 EH/s SHA-256 network that is about a 1-in-18 chance per year — expected one block roughly every 17.20 yr, for the full 3.1300 BCH (≈ 958 USD) block. BackPoW computes this from live network difficulty using a Poisson block-discovery model. Realistically this is a hobby/lottery play rather than an income strategy.
Hardware Tier & Ecosystem Ranking on BitcoinCash
The Bitaxe Supra Hex is categorized in the Home / Solo Lottery Tier (Compact or low-power hardware optimized for decentralized solo lottery participation rather than commercial pool revenue.). Among all 14 tracked models on BitcoinCash, it ranks #11 in electrical efficiency (44,135,368,421.05 H/W) and #10 in raw hashrate (4.19 TH/s).
Electricity Operating Costs & Breakeven
Running a Bitaxe Supra Hex (95 W) pulls about 2.28 kWh per day (69.4 kWh per month). At the standard rate of 0.069 USD/kWh, electricity costs roughly 0.16 USD per day (4.79 USD/month or 57 USD/year). Statistically that year returns 0.06 blocks, worth about $55.72 — you would burn roughly 1x more in electricity than that reward is worth.
The operational breakeven threshold is 0.067 USD/kWh. Expected net operating margin at benchmark tariffs:
- At 0.040 USD/kWh (Hydro / Renewable): +0.06 USD / day
- At 0.069 USD/kWh (Standard Industrial): -0.00 USD / day
- At 0.120 USD/kWh (Residential Grid): -0.12 USD / day
Break-even Coin Price Target: For this hardware to break even on electricity, BitcoinCash must trade at or above 315.75 USD at standard industrial power (0.069 USD/kWh), or 549.13 USD at residential power (0.120 USD/kWh).
Bankroll & Variance Risk Simulator
Solo mining block discovery follows a memoryless Poisson distribution. While the average wait is 17.20 yr, real-world dispersion ranges across 5% and 50% quantiles:
- Lucky streak (5% Odds): Block within ~322 days (1-in-20 fastest discovery, power cost: ~51 USD)
- Median expectation (50% Odds): Block within ~11.92 yr (Nominal median, power cost: ~685 USD)
- Bad luck streak (5% Odds): Can stretch up to ~51.53 yr (1-in-20 extended dry spell, power cost: ~2,961 USD)
High Variance Alert: In a 1-in-20 severe drought (~51.53 yr), cumulative electricity burned (~2,961 USD) will exceed the block reward value (958 USD). Pool mining is recommended for risk-averse operators.
Bitaxe Supra Hex Price & Estimated ROI
Current market price: $300–$460 (estimated market price, median $380) (Hardware price estimated). Mined against its most profitable coin instead of solo, it would pay itself back in about 35.6 years.
How other hardware compares on BitcoinCash
Devices in the same hashrate class, solo mining BitcoinCash at today's difficulty:
| Hardware | Hashrate | Expected block | Chance in 1 year |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bitaxe NerdOctaxe | 9.61 TH/s | 7.50 yr | 12.48% |
| Bitaxe NerdQaxe++ Rev 6.1 | 6.00 TH/s | 12.01 yr | 7.99% |
| Bitaxe NerdQaxe++ | 4.81 TH/s | 15.00 yr | 6.45% |
| Bitaxe NerdQaxe | 2.40 TH/s | 30.00 yr | 3.28% |
| Bitaxe Gamma | 1.10 TH/s | 65.72 yr | 1.51% |
How the odds have moved
BitcoinCash's network hashrate climbed 5% since 2026-09-08, from 3.68 EH/s to 3.87 EH/s — so the same rig is now 5% less likely to find a block.
Where to point a Bitaxe Supra Hex at BitcoinCash
Solo mining still runs through a solo pool: it handles the block template and pays the full reward to whoever finds the block. BackPoW tracks 67 solo pools for BitcoinCash with their stratum endpoints, fees, and pool hashrates — see BitcoinCash solo mining pools:
- harshy.site (Fee: 0% · Hashrate: 60.33 PH/s)
- fastpool.xyz (Fee: 0.1% · Hashrate: 2.46 PH/s)
- luckymonster.pro (Fee: 0.5% · Hashrate: 76.27 PH/s)
How the odds are calculated
Each hash is an independent attempt, so block discovery is memoryless and follows an exponential distribution. The average time to a block is T = network_hashrate ÷ your_hashrate × block_time. The chance of hitting at least one block within a period t is then given by the Poisson relation P = 1 − e^(−t/T) — the realistic probability, not a misleading linear one. For this pair: daily chance 0.0159%, yearly chance 5.65%.
Frequently Asked Questions: Bitaxe Supra Hex on BitcoinCash
Can you solo mine BitcoinCash with a Bitaxe Supra Hex?
Yes — a Bitaxe Supra Hex (4.19 TH/s) can solo mine BitcoinCash (BCH) via a solo pool. At BitcoinCash's 3.87 EH/s SHA-256 network that is about a 1-in-18 chance per year — expected one block roughly every 17.20 yr, for the full 3.1300 BCH (≈ 958 USD) block. BackPoW computes this from live network difficulty using a Poisson block-discovery model.
Is SHA-256 ASIC-resistant, and where does the Bitaxe Supra Hex stand?
SHA-256 is an ASIC-dominated algorithm. The Bitaxe Supra Hex delivers 4.19 TH/s (#10 of 14 models on BitcoinCash). It belongs to the Home / Solo Lottery Tier, built for compact, decentralized solo attempts rather than commercial pool income.
What is the operating power cost and breakeven electricity rate for a Bitaxe Supra Hex on BitcoinCash?
At 95 W, operating a Bitaxe Supra Hex consumes 2.28 kWh/day (69.4 kWh/month). At standard electricity (0.069 USD/kWh), the power bill is 0.16 USD/day (4.79 USD/month). The operational breakeven threshold is 0.067 USD/kWh.
What happens if my Bitaxe Supra Hex encounters a severe dry spell on BitcoinCash?
Block discovery is an independent Poisson process with no memory. In a 1-in-20 bad luck drought (5% worst luck), finding a block can stretch up to 51.53 yr, accumulating roughly 2,961 USD in power costs.
Alternative Mining Options for Bitaxe Supra Hex
Comparing solo odds, jackpot block value, and daily pool revenue across other coins minable with this rig:
| Coin | Expected block | Block value | Pool earnings / Day |
|---|---|---|---|
| DGB-SHA (DGB) | 8 days | 1 USD | 0.12 USD |
| Bitcoin (BTC) | 4,398 yr | 263,810 USD | 0.16 USD |