Solo mining odds — GeForce RTX 4090 on Conceal

9.78 KH/s · CryptoNightGPU · network 180.05 KH/s. A GeForce RTX 4090 solo mining Conceal (CCX) has about 14,055 blocks per year, i.e. an expected block roughly every 37.4 min for the full 6.0000 CCX reward.

Can you solo mine Conceal with a GeForce RTX 4090?

Yes — a GeForce RTX 4090 (9.78 KH/s) can solo mine Conceal (CCX) via a solo pool. At Conceal's 180.05 KH/s CryptoNightGPU network that is about 14,055 blocks per year — expected one block roughly every 37.4 min, for the full 6.0000 CCX block. BackPoW computes this from live network difficulty using a Poisson block-discovery model. Realistically this is genuinely worth a patient solo run.

Hardware Tier & Ecosystem Ranking on Conceal

The GeForce RTX 4090 is categorized in the Commercial / High-Yield Tier (Top quartile hashrate on this network, highly competitive for regular pool revenue or realistic solo mining.). Among all 5 tracked models on Conceal, it ranks #1 in electrical efficiency (30.57 H/W) and #1 in raw hashrate (9.78 KH/s).

Electricity Operating Costs & Breakeven

Running a GeForce RTX 4090 (320 W) pulls about 7.68 kWh per day (233.8 kWh per month). At the standard rate of 0.069 USD/kWh, electricity costs roughly 0.53 USD per day (16.13 USD/month or 194 USD/year). Statistically that year returns 14,054.91 blocks, worth about $337 — expected revenue covers the power bill about 1.7x over.

The operational breakeven threshold is 0.120 USD/kWh. Expected net operating margin at benchmark tariffs:

Break-even Coin Price Target: For this hardware to break even on electricity, Conceal must trade at or above 0.0023 USD at standard industrial power (0.069 USD/kWh), or 0.0040 USD at residential power (0.120 USD/kWh).

Bankroll & Variance Risk Simulator

Solo mining block discovery follows a memoryless Poisson distribution. While the average wait is 37.4 min, real-world dispersion ranges across 5% and 50% quantiles:

High Variance Alert: In a 1-in-20 severe drought (~1.9 hours), cumulative electricity burned (~0 USD) will exceed the block reward value (0 USD). Pool mining is recommended for risk-averse operators.

GeForce RTX 4090 Price & Estimated ROI

Current market price: $1,450–$1,750 (estimated market price, median $1,600) (Hardware price estimated). Mined against its most profitable coin instead of solo, it would pay itself back in about 685 days.

How other hardware compares on Conceal

Devices in the same hashrate class, solo mining Conceal at today's difficulty:

HardwareHashrateExpected blockChance in 1 year
GeForce RTX 30904.59 KH/s1.3 hours100.00%
GeForce RTX 3080 Ti4.19 KH/s1.5 hours100.00%
GeForce RTX 30803.70 KH/s1.6 hours100.00%
GeForce RTX 3080 LHR3.69 KH/s1.7 hours100.00%

How the odds have moved

Conceal's network hashrate climbed 52% since 2026-08-09, from 118.52 KH/s to 180.05 KH/s — so the same rig is now 52% less likely to find a block.

Where to point a GeForce RTX 4090 at Conceal

Solo mining still runs through a solo pool: it handles the block template and pays the full reward to whoever finds the block. BackPoW tracks 4 solo pools for Conceal with their stratum endpoints, fees, and pool hashrates — see Conceal solo mining pools:

How the odds are calculated

Each hash is an independent attempt, so block discovery is memoryless and follows an exponential distribution. The average time to a block is T = network_hashrate ÷ your_hashrate × block_time. The chance of hitting at least one block within a period t is then given by the Poisson relation P = 1 − e^(−t/T) — the realistic probability, not a misleading linear one. For this pair: daily chance 100.00%, yearly chance 100.00%.

Frequently Asked Questions: GeForce RTX 4090 on Conceal

Can you solo mine Conceal with a GeForce RTX 4090?

Yes — a GeForce RTX 4090 (9.78 KH/s) can solo mine Conceal (CCX) via a solo pool. At Conceal's 180.05 KH/s CryptoNightGPU network that is about 14,055 blocks per year — expected one block roughly every 37.4 min, for the full 6.0000 CCX block. BackPoW computes this from live network difficulty using a Poisson block-discovery model.

Is CryptoNightGPU ASIC-resistant, and where does the GeForce RTX 4090 stand?

CryptoNightGPU is an ASIC-resistant GPU algorithm relying on memory bandwidth. The GeForce RTX 4090 ranks #1 of 5 GPUs on Conceal. It sits in the Commercial / High-Yield Tier (top quartile), making it highly competitive for steady pool income and realistic solo mining.

What is the operating power cost and breakeven electricity rate for a GeForce RTX 4090 on Conceal?

At 320 W, operating a GeForce RTX 4090 consumes 7.68 kWh/day (233.8 kWh/month). At standard electricity (0.069 USD/kWh), the power bill is 0.53 USD/day (16.13 USD/month). The operational breakeven threshold is 0.120 USD/kWh.

What happens if my GeForce RTX 4090 encounters a severe dry spell on Conceal?

Block discovery is an independent Poisson process with no memory. In a 1-in-20 bad luck drought (5% worst luck), finding a block can stretch up to 1.9 hours, accumulating roughly 0 USD in power costs.

Alternative Mining Options for GeForce RTX 4090

Comparing solo odds, jackpot block value, and daily pool revenue across other coins minable with this rig:

CoinExpected blockBlock valuePool earnings / Day
Hoosat (HTN)49 s0.00 USD0.57 USD
Karlsen (KLS)1.5 min20.07 KLS0.00 USD
Frencoin (FREN)2.8 min10,000.00 FREN0.00 USD
Satoxcoin (SATOX)4.3 min0.00 USD0.80 USD